Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.070791 0.082408 0.095253 0.110501 0.128097 0.147755 0.171376
2024-10-20 0.050840 0.065583 0.083538 0.106967 0.136692 0.173108 0.221073
2024-10-27 0.038911 0.054507 0.075020 0.103883 0.143353 0.195337 0.268902
2024-11-03 0.032675 0.049022 0.071943 0.106267 0.156188 0.225953 0.330632
2024-11-10 0.028818 0.045882 0.071166 0.111115 0.172369 0.262412 0.404415
2024-11-17 0.025290 0.042479 0.069245 0.113614 0.184932 0.294592 0.475349
2024-11-24 0.022059 0.038924 0.066411 0.114029 0.193937 0.321945 0.541586
2024-12-01 0.019276 0.035614 0.063398 0.113538 0.201102 0.346781 0.606157
2024-12-08 0.016831 0.032478 0.060171 0.112106 0.206261 0.368540 0.667612
2024-12-15 0.015519 0.031172 0.059916 0.115760 0.220533 0.407047 0.761780
2024-12-22 0.014326 0.029895 0.059507 0.118997 0.234293 0.445907 0.860504
2024-12-29 0.013373 0.028939 0.059544 0.123014 0.249853 0.489449 0.972166
2025-01-05 0.012401 0.027834 0.059209 0.126381 0.264800 0.533899 1.091368
2025-01-12 0.010844 0.025265 0.055598 0.122678 0.265281 0.550703 1.158880
2025-01-19 0.009525 0.023012 0.052333 0.119243 0.265827 0.567570 1.228188
2025-01-26 0.008874 0.022171 0.051976 0.121990 0.279688 0.612795 1.360461
2025-02-02 0.008491 0.021901 0.052842 0.127537 0.300232 0.673983 1.532715
2025-02-09 0.007952 0.021170 0.052552 0.130394 0.315070 0.724434 1.686900
2025-02-16 0.007316 0.020097 0.051319 0.130868 0.324473 0.763892 1.820733
2025-02-23 0.006686 0.018946 0.049744 0.130308 0.331348 0.798322 1.946631
2025-03-02 0.006068 0.017727 0.047836 0.128672 0.335419 0.826679 2.061284
2025-03-09 0.005795 0.017417 0.048201 0.132847 0.354286 0.891529 2.268860
2025-03-16 0.005519 0.017053 0.048376 0.136544 0.372356 0.956225 2.482471